[Book Review] A Playbook for Leading Marketing in a VUCA (Volatile-Uncertain-Complex-Ambiguous) World

Source:  Greenleaf Book Group

Human beings are hard-wired to crave predictability and detest uncertainty. We all want to know that our decisions and actions will produce predictable outcomes or results.

The desire for predictability is equally strong among business executives, and for many years, business leaders have used management methods and processes designed to reduce uncertainty.

It shouldn't be surprising, therefore, that many CEOs and CFOs think that marketing should be reasonably predictable and become frustrated when marketing leaders can't answer what they see as straightforward questions.

Nor should it be surprising that many CMOs manage the marketing function in ways that are intended to reduce uncertainty, or that they lean into marketing methods and tactics that produce more predictable results.

These are the major issues that Kathleen Schaub addresses in her new book, Marketing in the (Great, Big, Messy) Real World:  Rewire Your Marketing Organization to Navigate Anything (River Grove Books, 2025) ("Marketing in the Real World").

In this important book, Schaub explains why the outcomes of most marketing activities are largely unpredictable, and explores what that inherent uncertainty means for managing the marketing function.

Kathleen Schaub is an author, speaker, and strategist on the future of marketing management. She led IDC's CMO Advisory practice for nine years, and she previously held senior marketing positions at several technology companies, including Sybase, Cadence Design Systems, and Vanstar. Schaub's extensive marketing leadership experience enables her to speak authoritatively about the intrinsic nature of marketing and the principles of effective marketing management.

What's In the Book

Marketing in the Real World contains a brief Introduction and three major sections.

In the Introduction, Kathleen Schaub argues that markets are what scientists call complex systems, and these systems have several characteristics that make them inherently unpredictable or, at best, only semi-predictable.

However, many CEOs, CFOs, and other senior leaders cling to the belief that the outcomes of marketing activities should be predictable. This view causes many senior leaders - including many marketing leaders - to attempt to bring marketing's uncertainty under greater control, something Schaub argues is essentially impossible.

Schaub contends that marketing leaders need to adopt new mindsets and management methods that embrace marketing's complexity and uncertainty and thus better enable marketing to succeed in the real-world environment. The rest of the book lays out Schaub's "playbook" for the necessary changes.

Part I of Marketing in the Real World (Chapters 1 and 2) sets the stage for the material in the balance of the book. Chapter 1 discusses the rapid rise of Taylor's "scientific management" methods in the early years of the twentieth century and explains why those methods don't work well when applied to today's marketing.

Chapter 2 introduces the new mindsets and operational shifts that Schaub argues are needed to enable marketing to thrive in a complex and uncertain environment.

In Part II of the book (Chapters 3-6), Schaub discusses the four mindset shifts that marketers and business leaders need to make to manage marketing effectively in the real world.

• Think Like an Investor (Chapter 3) - View marketing expenditures as investments that put funds at risk today with the objective of reaping significant gains in the future.

• Think Like a Navigator (Chapter 4) - View the market environment as constantly evolving, which means that marketing plans and the interpretation of marketing performance must be frequently adapted.

• Think Like a Statistician (Chapter 5) - Recognize that all future outcomes of marketing activities can only be described as probabilities.

• Think Like an Ecologist (Chapter 6) - Recognize that the performance of individuals on the marketing team is greatly influenced by the social, cultural, and economic context in which they work, and focus on developing an ecosystem that will facilitate high performance.

In Part III of the book, Schaub covers four operational processes or capabilities that have a significant impact on marketing success in a volatile and uncertain environment. She discusses the importance of leveraging both human intelligence and technological capabilities, the role of agile work processes, the use of integrated teams, and the importance of leveraging the attribute of complex systems known as emergence.

My Take

Marketing in the Real World will be a worthwhile read for anyone involved in leading or managing marketing in today's economic and competitive environment. The material in the book is insightful and well-organized, and Kathleen Schaub's writing is clear and engaging.

Schaub's book is particularly valuable in light of recent developments in B2B marketing. It's no secret that B2B brand marketing is experiencing a renaissance. A growing number of B2B marketers are recognizing the importance of having a strong brand, and several recent research studies have confirmed that importance.

Despite the increased attention, however, many B2B marketers continue to report that it is challenging to win support from their CEO and CFO for increased investment in brand marketing. This resistance usually stems from the difficulties involved in predicting and measuring the financial impact of brand marketing activities. In Marketing in the Real World, Kathleen Schaub provides perspectives marketing leaders will find useful in planning discussions with their CEO and CFO.